Tropical Storm Debbie Hurricane Hermine, in 9 incarnations, is expected to make landfall in Florida next week.

Tropical Storm Debbie Hurricane Hermine, in 9 incarnations, is expected to make landfall in Florida next week.

Tropical Storm Debbie On Friday, nine developed in the Caribbean, with a course that might send it to Florida as Hurricane Hermine next week.

The National Hurricane Center reported in a 5 a.m. update that the storm is heading west-northwest at 13 mph. Experts predict that it will continue westward over the next day or so before heading west-northwest and then northwest during the weekend.

"The system had a well-defined circulation for the previous 12 to 18 hours, but it was only overnight that the continuous convective activity was able to stay near the center long enough to be termed a tropical cyclone," said NHC hurricane specialist Phillipe Papin.

Tropical Storm Debbie Hurricane Hermine, in 9 incarnations, is expected to make landfall in Florida next week.
Tropical Storm Debbie According to a 5 a.m. update on Friday, 9/23, there are nine paths. (National Hurricane Center)

The maximum steady wind speed is about 35 mph, with greater gusts. Over the weekend, Tropical Storm Hermine is expected to slowly intensify and become a hurricane by Monday morning, with its core south of Cuba between the Cayman Islands and Jamaica.

"We're following the course, which is still not quite apparent, but it's headed at Florida early next week," Spectrum News 13 meteorologist Bryan Karrick said. "So I'd spend the weekend putting your storm preparations in order, maybe fill off the gas tank, get your generator ready, and stock up on bottled water and canned goods as we monitor the system next week."

Already, in Central Florida, which has had a lot of rain recently, the Seminole County Office of Emergency Management has begun its sandbag service and is preparing shelters in case they are required. The sites of shelters are not publicized until they are completely set up and staffed.

Tropical Storm Debbie Hurricane Hermine, in 9 incarnations, is expected to make landfall in Florida next week.
An estimation of Tropical Depression Nine's storm-force win speed probability as of the Friday, September 23 update at 5 a.m. (National Hurricane Center)

The five-day forecast shows it curving north over Cuba by Tuesday and then parked near Florida's southwest coast as a Category 2 storm with 110 mph winds and 130 mph gusts by Wednesday morning.

"A reasonable level of uncertainty remains in the track projection in the day 4-5 timeframe," Papin added.

There are currently no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Tropical Storm Debbie Severe rain, flash flooding, and dangerous mudslides are expected in Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao, with heavy rains expected in Jamaica and the Cayman Islands in the coming days.

Later this morning, an Air Force Reserve Reconnaissance mission will assess the system.

Already, in Central Florida, which has had a lot of rain recently, the Seminole County Office of Emergency Management has begun its sandbag service and is preparing shelters in case they are required. The sites of shelters are not publicized until they are completely set up and staffed.

Hurricane Fiona has crossed Bermuda and is now heading toward Canada, while Tropical Storm Gaston has begun to turn and is heading for the Azores islands in the Atlantic.

The NHC is also keeping an eye on two other systems that have the potential to develop into the next tropical storm or depression.

Tropical Storm Debbie Hurricane Hermine, in 9 incarnations, is expected to make landfall in Florida next week.
The tropical prognosis for Friday, September 23, 2022, at 8 a.m. (National Hurricane Center)

The most likely scenario is a low-pressure region with shower and thunderstorm activity centered between Africa's west coast and the Cabo Verde Islands that is exhibiting indications of organization. The NHC predicts that a tropical depression will emerge as the system travels north at roughly 10 mph parallel to the African coast.

It has an 80% chance of forming in the next two to five days, according to the NHC.

If it forms with sustained winds of 39 miles per hour or higher, it will be named Tropical Storm Ian.

A large region of low pressure several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce some disorganized thunderstorm activity in the central tropical Atlantic. According to the NHC, some development is possible as it moves northwestward or northward in the middle Atlantic.

It has a 20% probability of forming in the next two days and a 30% chance of forming in the following five days, according to the NHC.

Tropical Storm Debbie Hurricane Hermine, in 9 incarnations, is expected to make landfall in Florida next week.
Hurricane Fiona's uncertainty cone as of 8 a.m. Friday, September 23, 2022. (National Hurricane Center)

Hurricane Fiona has weakened from a Category 4 to a Category 3 storm, with sustained winds of 125 miles per hour as it moves north toward the coast of Nova Scotia.

Its center was about 125 miles north of Bermuda as of 8 a.m., which is no longer under a hurricane warning but is still under a tropical storm warning. It's heading north-northeast at 25 mph and is expected to make landfall as a massive and severe post-tropical cyclone with hurricane-force winds later today. It'll then travel over Nova Scotia and into the Gulf of St. Lawrence on Saturday, then into Labrador and over the Labrador Sea on Sunday.

The wind field of the system is growing as it travels out of the tropics, with hurricane-force winds reaching 115 miles and tropical-storm-force winds extending 345 miles.

Hurricane warnings have been issued for sections of Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island, Isle-de-la-Madeleine, and Newfoundland, as well as tropical storm warnings for parts of New Brunswick, Quebec, Anticosti Island, and other parts of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland.

While not a danger to Florida, Fiona's swells are still producing surf and boating concerns, with significant rip currents on the US East Coast, including Florida and the Bahamas.

Tropical Storm Debbie Hurricane Hermine, in 9 incarnations, is expected to make landfall in Florida next week.
As of 8 a.m. Friday, Sept. 23, 2022, Tropical Storm Gaston has a cone of uncertainty. (National Hurricane Center)

Tropical Storm Gaston has also weakened significantly as of 8 a.m., with sustained winds of 60 mph and its center positioned approximately 135 miles north-northwest of Faial Island in the Central Azores, moving east-southeast at 7 mph.

"A slower southeastward movement is anticipated today, followed by a southerly, then southwestward, movement tonight and early Saturday." "The center of Gaston will travel near or over areas of the Azores today through early Saturday, according to the projected track," NHC forecasters said.

The system's tropical-storm-force winds stretch out 115 miles, but it is likely to turn post-tropical as it travels west in the Atlantic on Saturday.

After nearly two months of peace, the tropics have begun to play catch-up, producing four named storms in three weeks.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration amended their season estimate in early August, predicting that 2022 would still be above-average, with 14 to 21 named storms, despite the fact that no named storms formed in August.

The hurricane season of 2020 established a record with 30 named systems, while the season of 2021 was the third most active, with 21 named systems. A typical year has 14 named storms.

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